[11/18/2013] The stock market broke through two milestones Monday as a historic rally pushes stocks further into record territory.
Investors are betting Fed policies are not likely to change soon. Janet Yellen, the nominee to succeed Ben Bernanke as Fed chairman, indicated in congressional testimony last week that she was prepared to keep interest rates low to stimulate the economy.
The S&P 500 index has risen for six weeks straight and is up 26 percent so far this year. The market hasn’t risen that much in a whole year since 2003.
The S&P 500 has closed above major round-number milestones three times this year: 1,500 on Jan. 25, 1,600 on May 3 and 1,700 on Aug. 1.
The quick climb has led some experts to wonder whether stocks are too high and set to tumble. Including this year’s gains, the S&P 500 is up 165 percent from the start of the current bull market in March 2009, 56 months ago.
Bull markets back to the Great Depression have averaged 57 months, according to S&P Capital IQ, a research firm, however the duration of bull markets has varied greatly over time. The bull market of the 1990s lasted 113 months, for instance.
Also, it’s not clear whether stocks are expensive relative to their earnings or just fairly priced. One measure of value, the ratio of stock prices to forecast earnings, is at 15 for S&P 500 companies. That is slightly below the 15-year average of 16.2, according to FactSet, a data provider.
At 2 p.m., the S&P 500 was up a point at 1,799. The index moved slightly above and below the 1,800 several times during the day. The Dow was up 48 points, or 0.3 percent, to 16,010.
Fantozzi of Planned Financial said investors may be buying stocks in response to news from the Chinese government Friday that it plans to open state industries to greater competition. Many big U.S. companies have come to rely on emerging markets like China to boost revenue. About half of the revenue in the S&P 500 comes outside the U.S.
In reaction to the China news, which was announced after Asian markets closed on Friday, China’s Shanghai Composite surged 2.9 percent and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng jumped 2.7 percent.
In the U.S., Boeing rose $2.41, or 1.8 percent, to $138.40. The plane maker booked $100 billion in orders at the opening of the Dubai Airshow. Tyson Foods jumped 51 cents, or 1.8 percent, to $29.28. The food company said its net income surged 41 percent in the latest quarter on higher sales of beef and chicken. The company raised its dividend 50 percent.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 2.68 percent from 2.71 percent.
Publisher: Associated Press
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