Category Archives: U.S. Economic News

U.S. Economy Barely Grew Last Quarter, Stoking Concerns About Momentum in 2016

[02/01/16]  The American economy finished the year on a flat note, much as it started 2015, stoking concern about its vulnerability in the months ahead to turmoil in China and elsewhere in the global economy.

But most economists expect activity to rebound as the year unfolds and continue to grind out steady but hardly spectacular growth.

Over all, the economy expanded at an annual rate of just 0.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015, the Commerce Department said Friday.

It could have been worse: Ahead of the report, a few...

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Retail Sales in U.S. Decrease to End Weakest Year Since 2009

[01/15/16]  Sales at U.S. retailers declined in December to wrap the weakest year since 2009, raising concern about the momentum in consumer spending heading into 2016. The 0.1 percent drop matched the median forecast of 84 economists surveyed by Bloomberg and followed a 0.4 percent gain in November, Commerce Department figures showed Friday in Washington. For all of 2015, purchases climbed 2.1 percent, the smallest advance of the current economic expansion. The slowdown, including electronics stores, clothing merchants and grocers, indicates Americans probably preferred to sock away the savings from cheaper fuel instead of splurging during the holiday season. While hiring has been robust in recent months, faster...
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Wall Street Hemorrhages as Oil Falls and China Fears Deepen

[01/15/16]  Wall Street bled on Friday, with the S&P 500 sinking to its lowest level since October 2014 as oil prices sank below $30 per barrel and fears grew about economic trouble in China. Pain was dealt widely, with the day's trading volume unusually high and more than a fifth of S&P 500 stocks touching 52-week lows. The major S&P sectors all ended sharply lower. The Russell 2000 small-cap index dropped as much as 3.5 percent to its lowest level since July 2013. The energy sector dropped 2.87 percent as oil prices fell 6.5 percent, in part due to fears of slow economic growth in China, where...
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Private Payrolls, Compensation Data Point to Sturdy Jobs Market

[12/2/15]  U.S. private employers boosted hiring in November and wage growth appeared to pick up in the third quarter, signs of labor market strength that could support the first Federal Reserve interest rate increase in nearly a decade later this month. The reports on Wednesday overshadowed slumping manufacturing activity and underscored the economy's solid fundamentals. "The data indicate a steady improvement in the labor market that should support the Fed's confidence that now is the right time to hike rates," said Thomas Costerg, senior U.S. economist at Standard Chartered Bank in New York. Private payrolls increased 217,000 last month on top of the 196,000 jobs added in October, the...
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Housing Starts Fall to Seven-Month Low

[11/18/15]  Housing starts in the United States fell to a seven-month low in October, weighed down by a steep decline in the construction of multifamily homes. A surge in building permits, though, suggested that the housing market remained on solid ground.

Groundbreaking dropped 11 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 1.06 million units last month, the lowest level since March, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday.

October was the seventh consecutive month that starts remained above one million units, the longest stretch since 2007. Building permits increased 4.1 percent to an annual rate...

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Consumer Prices Rose in October, Government Says

[11/17/15]  Consumer prices in the United States increased in October after two consecutive months of declines, as the cost of health care and other services rose. The economic outlook also received a lift from other data on Tuesday showing a fairly solid increase in manufacturing output in October.

The Labor Department said on Tuesday that its Consumer Price Index increased 0.2 percent last month, reversing a 0.2 percent drop in September. In the 12 months through October, the index advanced 0.2 percent; it was unchanged in September.

Signs of stabilization in prices after a recent...

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US Manufacturing Output Up in October

[11/17/15]  U.S. manufacturing output rose in October for the first time in three months as factories cranked out more steel, cars and computers. Manufacturing production increased 0.4 percent last month, the Federal Reserve said Tuesday, after slipping 0.1 percent in September. The rise suggests that manufacturers may be overcoming several headwinds they have faced for most of this year. Many retailers and wholesalers have been cutting back on their stockpiles after ordering too many goods this winter. That has weighed on output. And the strong dollar has cut into exports by making U.S. goods more expensive overseas. Economists warned that the drag from the strong dollar will likely persist,...
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Raft of Data Suggests Growth Is Slowing

[10/27/15] A gauge of United States business investment plans fell for a second straight month in September, pointing to a sharp slowdown in economic growth and casting more doubt on whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year.

Other data on Tuesday showed that consumer confidence slipped in October in the face of worries over a recent moderation in job growth and its potential impact on income. Housing, however, remained the bright spot, and home prices accelerated in August. That should improve household wealth, which has been buffeted by a strong dollar, weak global demand, spending...

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Consumer Spending Gain Shows U.S. Is Weathering Global Slowdown

[09-28-15]  Purchases climbed a more-than-forecast 0.4 percent in August. Wages increased annualized 5 percent, the most since January. Household spending climbed more than forecast in August and the prior month was revised up, fueled by wage growth and indicating consumers will help the U.S. economy muddle through a global slowdown. The 0.4 percent increase in purchases matched the July advance that was larger than previously reported, Commerce Department figures showed Monday. The median forecast of economists in a Bloomberg survey called for a 0.3 percent August increase. Employment gains helped wages climb an annualized 5 percent over the last three months, the most since January. Consumers’ willingness to spend...
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Why Yellen Blinked on Interest Rates

[09/17/15]  It has been seven years of zero percent interest rates. What’s another two or three months among friends?

That’s the conclusion that Janet Yellen and her colleagues at the Federal Reserve reached in their policy meeting on Thursday. They left interest rates unchanged at the same near-zero level where they have been lodged since December 2008. For them, the risk of changing course prematurely just seemed higher than another couple of months of zero rates.

Ms. Yellen blinked, which is not to say she made a mistake. Sometimes blinking is a very sensible thing...

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